Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.13
+14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
297 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.07.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
02.04.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.09.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
18.06.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.05.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
05.03.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City edged past Gangneung City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Changwon City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Changwon City and 1.00 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gangneung City?

Changwon City 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gangneung City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 32%, draw 32%, Gangneung City 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gangneung City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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