09/06/2024
·
11:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
32%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
25%
49%
Under 2.5
53%
51%
Over 2.5
47%
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
49%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pocheon v Yeoju Sejong — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pocheon
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Yeoju Sejong
EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
0.66/0.68
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/0.50
-54%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-56%
/
+145%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
301 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Pocheon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Yeoju Sejong
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
04.03.2023
Yeoju Sejong
4-3
HT 0-2
Pocheon
GKOK
4-3
HT 0-2
Pocheon
GKOK
POST-MATCH
Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yeoju Sejong squeezed past Pocheon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Pocheon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong?
Pocheon 1-2 Yeoju Sejong in the South Kore - K3 League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Yeoju Sejong?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 41%, draw 32%, Yeoju Sejong 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pocheon) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Pocheon)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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