Fjölnir 0-2 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2025

Fjölnir
0-2 HT 0-1
UMF Selfoss
📅09/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Fjölnir vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-16.8pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fjölnir v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.57/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.79
+35% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8

Fjölnir vs UMF Selfoss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
4W-0D-2L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-4 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
21.05.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 1-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
27.08.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-1 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
24.06.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
18.09.2021 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
09.07.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-1 HT 2-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss beat Fjölnir 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fjölnir at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fjölnir and 1.50 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs UMF Selfoss?

Fjölnir 0-2 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 48%, draw 29%, UMF Selfoss 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fjölnir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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