Keflavik 1-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-33% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fylkir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 2.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.06.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
10.04.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.02.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
08.08.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
21.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 4-2 HT 2-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Fylkir shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Fylkir?

Keflavik 1-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 51%, draw 23%, Fylkir 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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