Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
1-2
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
Portland Timbers 2-1 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers nicked a narrow win over St. Louis City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 51% of the ball to St. Louis City's 49%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 1.72 to 2.58 — on chances, St. Louis City could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.75 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?
Portland Timbers 2-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 53%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.