Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
1-2
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
Portland Timbers 4-4 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers and St. Louis City couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 61% of the ball to St. Louis City's 39%, shots finished 32-13, expected goals 4.32 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.00 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?
Portland Timbers 4-4 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 54%, draw 23%, St. Louis City 23%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.