Fas 1-0 Benin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jun 2025

Fas
1-0 HT 1-0
Benin
📅09/06/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.6pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Benin EU Bookmakers 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.52/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.15
-79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Benin
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.65 xG 0.30
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
513 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.07.2019 Fas Fas 1-1 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
13.11.2014 Fas Fas 6-1 HT 3-1 Benin Benin HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
1-0
AWAY Benin
1.24 xG 0.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
532 Passes 329
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fas vs Benin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas nicked a narrow win over Benin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fas had 61% of the ball to Benin's 39%, shots finished 10-2, expected goals 1.24 to 0.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Fas and 1.00 for Benin.

What was the final score of Fas vs Benin?

Fas 1-0 Benin in the Friendlies on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Benin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fas 61%, draw 23%, Benin 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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