Karadağ 2-2 Ermenistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.20/0.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.92
-89% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karadağ
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ermenistan
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 493
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.06.2017 Karadağ Karadağ 4-1 HT 2-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan DKE
11.11.2016 Ermenistan Ermenistan 3-2 HT 0-2 Karadağ Karadağ DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ
2-2
AWAY Ermenistan
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karadağ vs Ermenistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ and Ermenistan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Karadağ had 42% of the ball to Ermenistan's 58%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Karadağ and 2.00 for Ermenistan.

What was the final score of Karadağ vs Ermenistan?

Karadağ 2-2 Ermenistan in the Friendlies on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Ermenistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 40%, draw 27%, Ermenistan 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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