Arnavutluk (K) 5-2 Karadağ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 9 Jun 2026

📅09/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Karadağ (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arnavutluk (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karadağ (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.03.2026 Karadağ (K) Karadağ (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Arnavutluk (K) Arnavutluk (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk (K)
5-2
AWAY Karadağ (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk (K) vs Karadağ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk (K) ran out comfortable winners over Karadağ (K) 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arnavutluk (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arnavutluk (K) had 65% of the ball to Karadağ (K)'s 35%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk (K) vs Karadağ (K)?

Arnavutluk (K) 5-2 Karadağ (K) in the Women's World Cup on 09/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk (K) vs Karadağ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutluk (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk (K) 49%, draw 25%, Karadağ (K) 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutluk (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutluk (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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