Hollanda (K) 3-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 9 Jun 2026

📅09/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
77%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
15%
+3.3pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.73/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.31
-20% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
481 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
21.5 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Polonya (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.64
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
381 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2026 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 2-2 HT 1-1 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KDK
24.10.2025 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
04.03.2019 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
3-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
3.26 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
405 Passes 176
39 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda (K) saw off Polonya (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 61% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 39%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.26 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hollanda (K) and 1.00 for Polonya (K).

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Hollanda (K) 3-1 Polonya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 09/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 70%, draw 19%, Polonya (K) 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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