Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Jul 2024

📅09/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.74 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
13%
4.27
X/2
6%
7.73
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.94
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.29/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.97
+124% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
7.0 Crosses 16.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
408 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-4 HT 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
13.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.06.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.04.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
26.06.2016 Suwon City Suwon City 0-3 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-3
AWAY Suwon City
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 61% of the ball to Suwon City's 39%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.50 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 31%, Suwon City 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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