Suwon City 1-4 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
13%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.16
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.04
X/2
13%
6.44
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.47
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.23
+49% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.2 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.51 xG 1.05
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
13.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.06.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.04.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
26.06.2016 Suwon City Suwon City 0-3 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-4
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
489 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu cruised past Suwon City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Suwon City had 63% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Suwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Suwon City and 1.60 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Suwon City 1-4 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 40%, draw 24%, Gimcheon Sangmu 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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