Incheon United 2-0 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
10%
4.18
X/2
7%
7.92
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
4%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.17
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.75
Value flag · 2/X at 14.75 — our 13% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.0pp
35%
Draw
26%
+9.4pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.04/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.42
-30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
04.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
04.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-3 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
21.11.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
29.08.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 2-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
28.06.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-0
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
333 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United beat Daejeon Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Incheon United had 46% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 54%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Incheon United and 0.83 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Incheon United 2-0 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 45%, draw 35%, Daejeon Citizen 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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