09/07/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Gornik Zabrze vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
36%
Draw
23%
31%
Away Win
52%
47%
Under 2.5
40%
53%
Over 2.5
60%
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
47%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gornik Zabrze v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gornik Zabrze
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Karlsruher SC
EU Bookmakers 56%
-41% /
-41%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
0.62/2.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.57/2.25
-52%
/
-36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-64%
/
-43%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
345 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
404 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gornik Zabrze vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gornik Zabrze ran out comfortable winners over Karlsruher SC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Karlsruher SC?
Gornik Zabrze 3-0 Karlsruher SC in the Friendlies on 09/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Karlsruher SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 34%, draw 36%, Karlsruher SC 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
9 Jul 2024