09/07/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Slovan Liberec vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
23%
31%
Away Win
25%
51%
Under 2.5
38%
49%
Over 2.5
62%
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
49%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slovan Liberec v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Slovan Liberec
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Debrecen
EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-47% /
-47%
3.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+76%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+61%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
366 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Slovan Liberec vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Slovan Liberec swept aside Debrecen 4-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slovan Liberec as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Debrecen?
Slovan Liberec 4-0 Debrecen in the Friendlies on 09/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Debrecen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 41%, draw 28%, Debrecen 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovan Liberec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Slovan Liberec)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
9 Jul 2024