Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-0
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius got the better of Hamrun Spartans 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 55% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hamrun Spartans?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 Hamrun Spartans in the Champions League on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 48%, draw 28%, Hamrun Spartans 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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