Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.58/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+6% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
31.07.2024 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad ŞMP
24.07.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad squeezed past Dinamo Minsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 74% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 26%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Dinamo Minsk.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Dinamo Minsk?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Dinamo Minsk in the Champions League on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 53%, draw 26%, Dinamo Minsk 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5
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