Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
1-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk edged past Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 43% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 57%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Champions League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 31%, draw 27%, Ludogorets Razgrad 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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