Midtjylland 1-0 UE Santa Coloma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
24%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
10.4
2-3 Goals
39%
2.59
4-5 Goals
26%
2.32
6+ Goals
13%
3.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
82%
-25.3pp
18%
Draw
10%
+8.0pp
24%
Away Win
7%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 9%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +86% / +86%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-63% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
1W-0D-0L
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.03 xG 0.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 0-3 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
1-0
AWAY UE Santa Coloma
1.40 xG 0.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 Passes 157
85% Pass Accuracy 63%
40 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs UE Santa Coloma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland edged past UE Santa Coloma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 64% of the ball to UE Santa Coloma's 36%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.40 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs UE Santa Coloma?

Midtjylland 1-0 UE Santa Coloma in the Champions League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs UE Santa Coloma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 57%, draw 18%, UE Santa Coloma 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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