UE Santa Coloma 0-3 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
52%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.56
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
37%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
6%
+20.1pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.2pp
52%
Away Win
80%
-27.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UE Santa Coloma
0-3
AWAY Midtjylland
0.26 xG 3.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland ran out comfortable winners over UE Santa Coloma 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UE Santa Coloma had 44% of the ball to Midtjylland's 56%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.26 to 3.03.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Midtjylland?

UE Santa Coloma 0-3 Midtjylland in the Champions League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 26%, draw 22%, Midtjylland 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
23 Jul 2024
18:00 Bodo / Glimt vs Rigas Skola Analysis →
18:30 FK Panevezys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →
19:00 Lincoln Red Imps vs Karabağ Analysis →
20:00 APOEL Nicosia vs Petrocub Analysis →
20:00 Malmö FF vs KI Klaksvik Analysis →
20:30 FCSB vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis →