FK Panevezys 0-4 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
48%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
16%
+14.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-15.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-4
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok cruised past FK Panevezys 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 44% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 56%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

FK Panevezys 0-4 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Champions League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 30%, draw 23%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
23 Jul 2024
18:00 Bodo / Glimt vs Rigas Skola Analysis →
19:00 Lincoln Red Imps vs Karabağ Analysis →
20:00 APOEL Nicosia vs Petrocub Analysis →
20:00 Malmö FF vs KI Klaksvik Analysis →
20:30 FCSB vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Analysis →
21:00 UE Santa Coloma vs Midtjylland Analysis →