Borac Banja Luka 0-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PAOK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-2 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
0-1
AWAY PAOK
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Borac Banja Luka 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 48% of the ball to PAOK's 52%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs PAOK?

Borac Banja Luka 0-1 PAOK in the Champions League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 28%, draw 25%, PAOK 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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