El Vigia 1-3 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Vigia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Vigia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.06.2025 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-0 HT 0-0 El Vigia El Vigia VENK
27.06.2024 El Vigia El Vigia 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Vigia
1-3
AWAY Estudiantes
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Vigia vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes beat El Vigia 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Vigia had 51% of the ball to Estudiantes's 49%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for El Vigia and 2.00 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of El Vigia vs Estudiantes?

El Vigia 1-3 Estudiantes in the VENK on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Vigia vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Vigia 34%, draw 27%, Estudiantes 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VENK More VENK
9 Jul 2025
22:00 Real Frontera vs Urena Analysis →
22:00 Yaracuyanos vs Maritimo Ven Analysis →
22:30 Rayo Zuliano vs Heroes Analysis →
23:00 Angostura FC vs Bolivar SC Analysis →