Hegelmann 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.25
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann
1-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hegelmann vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann and Paide Linnameeskond couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Hegelmann vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Hegelmann 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann 47%, draw 24%, Paide Linnameeskond 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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