Sacramento Republic 2-1 Rhode Island — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.23
+13% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.6 Crosses 15.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Rhode Island
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 1.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 368
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLKP
22.06.2025 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-2 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
12.05.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 2-2 HT 2-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
2-1
AWAY Rhode Island
1.04 xG 1.69
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
347 Passes 279
27 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sacramento Republic edged past Rhode Island 2-1 in the USL Championship on 9 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.69.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic have the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.67 for Rhode Island.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island?

Sacramento Republic 2-1 Rhode Island in the USL Championship on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 44%, draw 28%, Rhode Island 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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