Wexford Youths 2-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.63/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.53
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
15.03.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.09.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
23.06.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.04.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
10.03.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths beat Finn Harps 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wexford Youths as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wexford Youths and 0.83 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Wexford Youths 2-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 46%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wexford Youths) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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