AEgir 1-0 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
45%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.74
Over Pick
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
33%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.5pp
45%
Away Win
32%
+12.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar The Market 36%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.00/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.95
+21% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +75%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH AEgir vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEgir nicked a narrow win over KFG Gardabar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KFG Gardabar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AEgir vs KFG Gardabar?

AEgir 1-0 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFG Gardabar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AEgir 38%, draw 17%, KFG Gardabar 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KFG Gardabar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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