Throttur Vogar 4-1 UMF Tindastoll — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.89
Over Pick
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.35
No
52%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
70%
-21.8pp
52%
BTTS No
30%
+21.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Throttur Vogar The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Tindastoll The Market 43%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+88% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Throttur Vogar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UMF Tindastoll
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
31.05.2024 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll 6-1 HT 0-1 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL2
POST-MATCH Throttur Vogar vs UMF Tindastoll
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar swept aside UMF Tindastoll 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Throttur Vogar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Throttur Vogar vs UMF Tindastoll?

Throttur Vogar 4-1 UMF Tindastoll in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Throttur Vogar vs UMF Tindastoll?

Before kick-off our model rated a Throttur Vogar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Throttur Vogar 39%, draw 23%, UMF Tindastoll 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/23/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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