Palestino 4-1 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +28%
1.15/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.19
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.2 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
4W-1D-1L
AWAY O Higgins
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
199 Passes 308
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
10.12.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
19.05.2023 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
09.07.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-2 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
12.02.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
15.10.2021 Palestino Palestino 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
4-1
AWAY O Higgins
2.52 xG 0.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
260 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palestino vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino cruised past O Higgins 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Palestino had 51% of the ball to O Higgins's 49%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.52 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palestino and 0.67 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of Palestino vs O Higgins?

Palestino 4-1 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Palestino 42%, draw 28%, O Higgins 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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