O Higgins 0-1 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.23/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
-28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.8 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palestino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 212
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-1 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
19.05.2023 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
09.07.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 1-2 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
12.02.2022 Palestino Palestino 1-0 HT 1-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
15.10.2021 Palestino Palestino 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
30.05.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 1-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
0-1
AWAY Palestino
0.78 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
299 Passes 280
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Palestino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino edged past O Higgins 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Palestino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, O Higgins had 51% of the ball to Palestino's 49%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured O Higgins.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for O Higgins and 1.00 for Palestino.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Palestino?

O Higgins 0-1 Palestino in the Chile - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Palestino?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 39%, draw 29%, Palestino 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (O Higgins) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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