Union Espanola 3-0 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.17
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.5 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 1-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.02.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
29.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-3 HT 0-3 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
04.04.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
01.10.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
01.05.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
3-0
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.26 xG 0.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
298 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola ran out comfortable winners over Audax Italiano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Union Espanola had 46% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 54%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.26 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Espanola and 1.17 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano?

Union Espanola 3-0 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 41%, draw 26%, Audax Italiano 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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