Standard Liege 0-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.64
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
8%
5.78
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
21%
3.77
2/X
10%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.41/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.39
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.0 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mechelen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
20.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.01.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.10.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 2-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
0-0
AWAY Mechelen
0.70 xG 0.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
314 Passes 518
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege and Mechelen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Standard Liege had 40% of the ball to Mechelen's 60%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 1.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs Mechelen?

Standard Liege 0-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 36%, draw 28%, Mechelen 36%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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