Mechelen 3-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.76
2-3 Goals
39%
2.16
4-5 Goals
29%
2.49
6+ Goals
16%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.08
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
10%
4.48
X/2
9%
9.86
X/X
11%
6.88
2/1
8%
18.85
2/2
8%
6.05
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.5pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.90/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.66
+6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.2 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
20.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 3-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.11.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
17.01.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
19.10.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 2-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
30.01.2022 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
3-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.81 xG 0.75
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
602 Passes 324
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen squeezed past Standard Liege 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Mechelen had 63% of the ball to Standard Liege's 37%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mechelen and 0.67 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Mechelen 3-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 53%, draw 22%, Standard Liege 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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