OH Leuven 1-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.81
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
15%
7.75
X/X
15%
6.0
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
11%
4.72
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +24%
1.81/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.29
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.7 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
256 Passes 409
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
03.02.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-3 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
04.11.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.01.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.07.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-2
AWAY Westerlo
2.11 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
304 Passes 444
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo edged past OH Leuven 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Westerlo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, OH Leuven had 42% of the ball to Westerlo's 58%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.11 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for OH Leuven and 1.00 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Westerlo?

OH Leuven 1-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 39%, draw 29%, Westerlo 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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