Slavia Mozyr 1-2 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
-3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 2-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.08.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
17.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-3 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
14.08.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
11.04.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
23.08.2020 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1-2
AWAY Vitebsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk squeezed past Slavia Mozyr 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Mozyr at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 54% of the ball to Vitebsk's 46%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk?

Slavia Mozyr 1-2 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 41%, draw 31%, Vitebsk 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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