Vitebsk 2-3 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.34/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.12
-71% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
17.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-3 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
14.08.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
11.04.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
23.08.2020 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
03.05.2020 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
2-3
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vitebsk had 43% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 57%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitebsk and 1.50 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Vitebsk 2-3 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 27%, draw 31%, Slavia Mozyr 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
30 Mar 2024
14:00 Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov Analysis →
18:00 Isloch Minsk vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk Analysis →