Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
0.87/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.64
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-7 HT 0-5 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
25.06.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
25.10.2015 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
22.06.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-2 HT 0-2 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
09.11.2014 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
26.09.2014 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naftan Novopolotsk
0-0
AWAY BATE Borisov
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naftan Novopolotsk and BATE Borisov fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was BATE Borisov at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Naftan Novopolotsk had 46% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 54%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naftan Novopolotsk and 3.00 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov?

Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naftan Novopolotsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Naftan Novopolotsk 21%, draw 27%, BATE Borisov 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (BATE Borisov), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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