Slavia Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

Slavia Sofia
3-1 HT 2-1
Spartak Varna
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slavia Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.43
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Slavia Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-1
AWAY Spartak Varna
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia got the better of Spartak Varna 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 51% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 49%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Slavia Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 44%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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