Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.33
No
45%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-17.2pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
39%
+16.6pp
45%
BTTS No
61%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.59/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.86
-11% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.09.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
22.04.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-1
AWAY Hebar 1918
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past Hebar 1918 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 57% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.67 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Hebar 1918?

Arda Kardzhali 2-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 47%, draw 32%, Hebar 1918 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 Aug 2024
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