Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.79
X/2
14%
6.42
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.71
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 33%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.67/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+103% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.3 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gangwon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
457 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-3 HT 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
06.09.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
08.07.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
02.08.2020 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-2
AWAY Gangwon
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 52% of the ball to Gangwon's 48%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.17 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 39%, draw 28%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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