Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.93
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.82
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
20%
4.66
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
9%
3.47
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.82 — our 22% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
27%
Away Win
38%
-11.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 42%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.88/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.29
+84% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
292 Passes 471
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.09.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju edged past Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 54% of the ball to Gwangju's 46%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 39%, draw 34%, Gwangju 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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