Groningen vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Groningen v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
Groningen vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Groningen
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
5-2
HT 1-1
NAC Breda
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
Groningen 4-1 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen swept aside NAC Breda 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Groningen had 69% of the ball to NAC Breda's 31%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.23 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Groningen and 1.50 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Groningen 4-1 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Groningen 48%, draw 24%, NAC Breda 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.