Al Khor 0-0 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.04
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
5.83
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
9%
5.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.83 — our 26% vs market 12.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.52
-20% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.22 xG 1.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
210 Passes 442
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.12.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KATYK
15.11.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
26.10.2021 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
08.03.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
27.11.2020 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 6-3 HT 2-1 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khor
0-0
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.21 xG 1.48
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
211 Passes 464
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 40
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khor vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khor and Al Gharafa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Al Gharafa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Khor had 35% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 65%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.21 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Khor and 3.50 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Khor vs Al Gharafa?

Al Khor 0-0 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khor vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Khor 18%, draw 25%, Al Gharafa 56%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5
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