Al Rayyan 3-1 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
2.27/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.28
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.6 Crosses 12.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.92 xG 0.89
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
425 Passes 205
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
02.03.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-1 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
30.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
04.01.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
09.12.2021 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
3-1
AWAY Umm Salal
2.72 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
489 Passes 267
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan saw off Umm Salal 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 63% of the ball to Umm Salal's 37%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.72 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.17 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Al Rayyan 3-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 55%, draw 22%, Umm Salal 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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