Kecskemeti TE 1-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.58/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.43
-15% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
20.4 Crosses 20.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Debrecen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 265
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
17.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
18.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
29.10.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
06.08.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1-1
AWAY Debrecen
1.33 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
319 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Box Touches 10
44 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE and Debrecen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 57% of the ball to Debrecen's 43%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.33 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Debrecen?

Kecskemeti TE 1-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 40%, draw 26%, Debrecen 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✓ BTTS Yes
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