Debrecen 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 13 Apr 2024

Debrecen
1-0 HT 0-0
Kecskemeti TE
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.56
6+ Goals
13%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Kecskemeti TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
2.32/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.15
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +121%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
29.2 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
224 Passes 284
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.09.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
18.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
29.10.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
06.08.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
10.04.2015 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC

Debrecen 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-0
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.91 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 295
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen squeezed past Kecskemeti TE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Debrecen had 54% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.91 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Debrecen and 1.17 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE?

Debrecen 1-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 56%, draw 21%, Kecskemeti TE 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Over 2.5
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