Correcaminos UAT 5-1 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Aug 2024

Correcaminos UAT
5-1 HT 2-0
CA La Paz
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.70
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-1D-2L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
The Meetings
18.03.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
10.11.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
27.10.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
08.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4-1 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.10.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 4-2 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT ran out comfortable winners over CA La Paz 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Correcaminos UAT found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.60 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?

Correcaminos UAT 5-1 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 35%, draw 28%, CA La Paz 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA La Paz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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