Arka Gdynia 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.03/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.85
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
23.10.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
05.07.2014 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-1
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia and Znicz Pruszkow shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 64% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 36%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arka Gdynia and 0.67 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Arka Gdynia 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 48%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszkow 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ BTTS No
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