Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 55%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.12
+8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
163 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 594 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
05.07.2014 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-0
AWAY Arka Gdynia
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow beat Arka Gdynia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 34% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 66%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 1.00 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Arka Gdynia?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 24%, draw 29%, Arka Gdynia 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arka Gdynia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
24 Apr 2024
19:00 Wisla Plock vs Miedz Legnica Analysis →
21:30 Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa Analysis →