Wisla Plock 2-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.73/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.09
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.59 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 4-0 HT 2-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
19.02.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
08.08.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 4-1 HT 2-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
28.04.2019 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 3-2 HT 3-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
24.02.2019 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
15.09.2018 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-2 HT 1-2 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Miedz Legnica 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wisla Plock and 2.33 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Miedz Legnica?

Wisla Plock 2-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 43%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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